Curio Grand Archive HVN Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	7	12.3%	17-17-3	50.0%	47.8%	49.2%	48.4%	1289	—
2		Water Genbu	Tier 1	7	12.3%	18-13-8	56.4%	53.0%	50.2%	49.6%	1329	↑ top
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	6	10.5%	17-15-0	53.1%	57.8%	50.6%	53.0%	1247	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	6	10.5%	11-19-7	39.2%	44.3%	45.6%	47.7%	1222	—
5		Wind Allies	Tier 1	5	8.8%	18-5-3	75.0%	65.7%	61.0%	57.6%	1338	↑ top
6		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 1	4	7.0%	17-9-2	64.3%	46.7%	57.8%	50.0%	1422	↑ top
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	4	7.0%	7-10-5	43.2%	49.8%	46.4%	50.2%	1152	↓ low
8		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	5.3%	4-10-3	32.4%	34.7%	44.3%	44.5%	1248	—
9		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	3.5%	10-5-1	65.6%	62.7%	50.4%	51.0%	1278	—
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.2%	50.0%	49.3%	1262	—
11		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 3	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	55.7%	47.1%	50.2%	1329	↑ top
12		Fire Kongming	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-3-1	50.0%	48.5%	51.0%	50.6%	1138	↓ low
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.8%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.2%	50.9%	53.4%	1279	—
14		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	1.8%	6-2-1	72.2%	58.6%	50.3%	50.4%	1445	↑ top
15		Fire Slimes	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-5-0	0.0%	24.8%	40.0%	41.0%	989	↓ low
16		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	1.8%	4-3-0	57.1%	58.7%	50.7%	52.4%	1355	↑ top
17		Wind Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-6-0	14.3%	32.7%	38.7%	41.6%	1192	↓ low
18		Wind Beast	Tier 2	1	1.8%	1-3-0	25.0%	46.2%	49.2%	52.1%	1001	↓ low
19		Wind Cats	Tier 2	1	1.8%	1-3-0	25.0%	46.2%	49.2%	52.1%	1001	↓ low
20		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.8%	3-4-0	42.9%	39.6%	47.5%	44.9%	1292	—
21		Wind Exia	Tier 3	1	1.8%	0-5-0	0.0%	30.7%	38.0%	41.4%	1064	↓ low
22		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.8%	4-0-3	78.6%	70.5%	55.4%	56.1%	1242	—
23		Wind Razorgale	Tier 3	1	1.8%	2-4-1	35.7%	48.5%	42.0%	46.6%	1006	↓ low
24		Wind Tera Tamer	Tier 2	1	1.8%	1-3-0	25.0%	46.2%	49.2%	52.1%	1001	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 7 decks · 12.3%
• Water Genbu 7 decks · 12.3%
• Fire Suzaku 6 decks · 10.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 10.5%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 8.8%
• Wind Luxem Zander 4 decks · 7.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 7.0%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 5.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 3.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Kongming 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Cats 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Tera Tamer 1 deck · 1.8%