← Game Nut Abyssal Heaven Regional
Water KongmingTier 2
at Game Nut Abyssal Heaven Regional
decks
1
(3.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-0-2
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.1%
avg ELO +8.1 per match
expected value
61.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1327
· median 1327
· range 1327–1327
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1127
Q1 1175
Q3 1298
1525
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 25.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.7% | +8.3 |
| Wind Allies | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +6.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Kongming decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
