← Game Nut Abyssal Heaven Regional
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Game Nut Abyssal Heaven Regional
decks
4
(12.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
9-8-3
overall winrate
52.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1306
· median 1299
· range 1202–1425
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1127
Q1 1175
Q3 1298
1525
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 25.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.4% | -15.0 |
| Water Genbu | 6.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.3% | -4.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.5% | +12.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.5% | -11.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Wind Neos | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
