← Game Nut Abyssal Heaven Regional

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at Game Nut Abyssal Heaven Regional

decks
2 (6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 3-7-0
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.3% avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
46.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1217 · median 1217 · range 1166–1268 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1127 Q1 1175 Q3 1298 1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 25.8% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 55.6% +4.2
Wind Allies 12.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.4% -13.1
Fire Suzaku 6.5% 0
Water Genbu 6.5% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 6.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 6.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.7% -14.8
Wind Seiryuu 6.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.4% -5.8
Fire Arcane 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.2% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.3
Water Allies 3.2% 0
Water Dawn of Ashes 3.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.2% -15.7
Water Kongming 3.2% 0
Wind Exia 3.2% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 3.2% 0
Wind Neos 3.2% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/23375/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike