← Grand Library League S3 Finals
Wind NeosTier 2
at Grand Library League S3 Finals
decks
3
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
5-11-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.2%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
45.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1151
· median 1217
· range 988–1249
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1217
Q3 1450
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +0.8 |
| Water Fractal | 8.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Water Genbu | 8.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.3 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 47.4% | -1.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.6 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
