Grand Library League S3 Finals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	11	12.2%	38-34-8	52.5%	49.9%	51.8%	50.1%	1353	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	11	12.2%	35-35-7	50.0%	50.6%	51.5%	50.4%	1321	—
3		Water Fractal	Tier 2	8	8.9%	14-24-7	38.9%	49.7%	44.7%	49.6%	1234	↓ low
4		Water Genbu	Tier 1	8	8.9%	24-21-10	52.7%	50.3%	51.4%	50.1%	1314	—
5		Wind Allies	Tier 2	7	7.8%	23-24-2	49.0%	49.5%	48.1%	49.8%	1316	—
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	7	7.8%	17-20-8	46.7%	49.4%	48.6%	49.6%	1309	—
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	5	5.6%	19-19-4	50.0%	49.3%	49.0%	49.6%	1383	—
8		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	4	4.4%	14-9-5	58.9%	51.2%	53.8%	50.6%	1339	—
9		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	4	4.4%	9-15-2	38.5%	47.0%	48.5%	49.0%	1455	↑ top
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	4	4.4%	14-12-3	53.4%	50.9%	53.2%	50.8%	1286	—
11		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	4	4.4%	13-10-4	55.6%	50.3%	52.6%	50.3%	1317	—
12		Wind Neos	Tier 2	3	3.3%	5-11-2	33.3%	48.2%	45.9%	49.7%	1151	↓ low
13		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.2%	9-5-4	61.1%	50.1%	52.0%	50.2%	1459	↑ top
14		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	2.2%	5-7-0	41.7%	50.8%	45.7%	50.2%	1385	—
15		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	2	2.2%	6-8-1	43.3%	49.9%	46.6%	49.7%	1246	↓ low
16		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	2.2%	8-6-0	57.1%	51.0%	51.7%	50.1%	1345	—
17		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	1.1%	5-3-1	61.1%	52.7%	53.9%	51.2%	1393	↑ top
18		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	1.1%	5-3-1	61.1%	49.6%	53.3%	49.9%	1386	↑ top
19		Fire Neos	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-4-1	35.7%	51.2%	46.2%	50.2%	1368	—
20		Norm Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.5%	47.8%	50.4%	996	↓ low
21		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	1.1%	7-2-2	72.7%	52.4%	56.4%	50.8%	1441	↑ top
22		Water Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	1.1%	6-2-1	72.2%	50.5%	56.9%	50.5%	1543	↑ top
23		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	48.9%	44.0%	49.3%	1182	↓ low
24		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	1.1%	2-5-0	28.6%	48.7%	48.4%	50.1%	1068	↓ low
25		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	1.1%	5-3-1	61.1%	49.7%	51.2%	49.5%	1453	↑ top
26		Wind Overlord	Tier 2	1	1.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	50.7%	48.8%	50.2%	1369	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 11 decks · 12.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 11 decks · 12.2%
• Water Fractal 8 decks · 8.9%
• Water Genbu 8 decks · 8.9%
• Wind Allies 7 decks · 7.8%
• Wind Astra Cleric 7 decks · 7.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 5 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 4 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Slimes 4 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 4 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Seiryuu 4 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Neos 3 decks · 3.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 2.2%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 2.2%
• Wind Byakko 2 decks · 2.2%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 2.2%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 1.1%
• Norm Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Polkhawk 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 1.1%