← Grand Library League S3 Finals
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Grand Library League S3 Finals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.2% | 8 | 2-6-0 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 47.0% | -1.5 |
| Water Fractal | 8.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Genbu | 8.9% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 9 | 7-2-0 | 77.8% | 69.2% | 53.7% | +1.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.8% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 53.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 51.4% | +0.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.4% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.3% | +0.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.4% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 51.4% | +0.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 44.9% | -3.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 53.1% | +2.3 |
| Wind Neos | 3.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -0.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.4% | -3.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 50.6% | +0.4 |
| Fire Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
| Water Polkhawk | 1.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 48.2% | -1.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.3% | -1.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.5% | +3.4 |
Decklists · 11 from this event
The 11 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Ensnaring Fumes, Innervate Agility, Penumbral Waltz. Losers more often ran: Zephyr, Scatter Essence.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Lookout | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sirocco Operative | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |