← Grand Archive - Constructed - Regionals
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive - Constructed - Regionals.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.0% | 6 | 75.0% | 53.4% | 57.0% | 52.5% | 1552 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 6 | 18.2% | 24 | 58.3% | 67.0% | 53.5% | 56.9% | 1275 | — |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 3 | 9.1% | 14 | 64.3% | 55.1% | 53.1% | 50.1% | 1371 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 9.1% | 13 | 46.2% | 48.4% | 51.4% | 49.7% | 1355 | — |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 9.1% | 18 | 55.6% | 51.2% | 50.1% | 47.8% | 1327 | — |
| 6 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 3.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.0% | 49.6% | 47.2% | 1267 | — |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 47.4% | 48.6% | 50.9% | 1076 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 6.1% | 12 | 50.0% | 36.8% | 48.4% | 43.1% | 1445 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Fractal | 2 | 6.1% | 10 | 45.0% | 53.5% | 48.1% | 50.1% | 1304 | — |
| 10 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 3.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 38.6% | 47.9% | 42.8% | 1547 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 38.6% | 47.6% | 42.6% | 1257 | — |
| 12 | Wind Allies | 5 | 15.2% | 26 | 48.1% | 56.5% | 47.1% | 50.2% | 1244 | — |
| 13 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 6.1% | 7 | 28.6% | 33.4% | 45.4% | 43.4% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Tonoris | 1 | 3.0% | 6 | 25.0% | 38.5% | 42.9% | 43.9% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 3.0% | 3 | 16.7% | 43.3% | 42.0% | 46.9% | 1094 | ↓ low |