EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印東門店 店家冠軍賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Luxem Zander | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 55.6% | 55.0% | 52.4% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 64.3% | 53.2% | 59.1% | 1074 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 5 | 10.4% | 22 | 54.5% | 56.2% | 53.1% | 54.6% | 1299 | — |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 3 | 6.2% | 17 | 55.9% | 45.2% | 53.1% | 49.6% | 1429 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 8 | 16.7% | 43 | 57.0% | 52.3% | 53.0% | 50.8% | 1331 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 5 | 10.4% | 29 | 55.2% | 50.8% | 52.5% | 50.6% | 1380 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 2.1% | 7 | 64.3% | 61.8% | 52.3% | 53.5% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 8.3% | 24 | 56.2% | 44.9% | 51.7% | 49.0% | 1411 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Exia | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 58.3% | 62.3% | 50.6% | 54.7% | 1409 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Crux Merlin | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 52.1% | 49.5% | 50.7% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Slimes | 1 | 2.1% | 6 | 41.7% | 45.3% | 48.9% | 50.0% | 1307 | — |
| 12 | Wind Arcane | 2 | 4.2% | 10 | 50.0% | 58.0% | 48.5% | 53.6% | 1289 | — |
| 13 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 6.2% | 14 | 53.6% | 51.1% | 47.6% | 48.1% | 1428 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 2.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.7% | 44.9% | 50.8% | 1121 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Allies | 6 | 12.5% | 31 | 43.5% | 46.4% | 44.0% | 46.8% | 1242 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Water Astra Arisanna | 1 | 2.1% | 5 | 20.0% | 36.3% | 41.1% | 41.9% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 2.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 41.8% | 40.0% | 47.1% | 1090 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 4.2% | 10 | 20.0% | 33.1% | 37.9% | 40.2% | 1243 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Kongming | 1 | 2.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.1% | 34.1% | 42.4% | 996 | ↓ low |