← 貓腳印東門店 店家冠軍賽

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印東門店 店家冠軍賽. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Luxem Zander 1 2.1% 6 66.7% 55.6% 55.0% 52.4% 1418 ↑ top
2 Water Genbu 1 2.1% 6 50.0% 64.3% 53.2% 59.1% 1074 ↓ low
3 Wind Seiryuu 5 10.4% 22 54.5% 56.2% 53.1% 54.6% 1299
4 Water Fractal 3 6.2% 17 55.9% 45.2% 53.1% 49.6% 1429 ↑ top
5 Wind Astra Cleric 8 16.7% 43 57.0% 52.3% 53.0% 50.8% 1331
6 Wind Shadowstrike 5 10.4% 29 55.2% 50.8% 52.5% 50.6% 1380 ↑ top
7 Fire Ravishing Mill 1 2.1% 7 64.3% 61.8% 52.3% 53.5% 1401 ↑ top
8 Fire Aggro 4 8.3% 24 56.2% 44.9% 51.7% 49.0% 1411 ↑ top
9 Fire Exia 1 2.1% 6 58.3% 62.3% 50.6% 54.7% 1409 ↑ top
10 Wind Crux Merlin 1 2.1% 6 50.0% 52.1% 49.5% 50.7% 1389 ↑ top
11 Slimes 1 2.1% 6 41.7% 45.3% 48.9% 50.0% 1307
12 Wind Arcane 2 4.2% 10 50.0% 58.0% 48.5% 53.6% 1289
13 Fire Luxem Assassin 3 6.2% 14 53.6% 51.1% 47.6% 48.1% 1428 ↑ top
14 Fire Suzaku 1 2.1% 4 25.0% 50.7% 44.9% 50.8% 1121 ↓ low
15 Wind Allies 6 12.5% 31 43.5% 46.4% 44.0% 46.8% 1242 ↓ low
16 Water Astra Arisanna 1 2.1% 5 20.0% 36.3% 41.1% 41.9% 1068 ↓ low
17 Wind Luxem Zander 1 2.1% 3 0.0% 41.8% 40.0% 47.1% 1090 ↓ low
18 Fire Firebloom Burn 2 4.2% 10 20.0% 33.1% 37.9% 40.2% 1243 ↓ low
19 Water Kongming 1 2.1% 3 0.0% 39.1% 34.1% 42.4% 996 ↓ low