Wilczek - Abyssal Heaven - Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	6	16.7%	11-14-5	45.0%	42.5%	47.6%	46.3%	1275	—
2		Water Genbu	Tier 1	5	13.9%	19-1-3	89.1%	76.3%	64.2%	60.8%	1307	↑ top
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	4	11.1%	8-11-5	43.8%	41.8%	46.5%	45.3%	1246	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	8.3%	8-9-0	47.1%	52.8%	46.2%	49.8%	1243	—
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	5.6%	5-5-2	50.0%	55.2%	47.2%	49.4%	1222	—
6		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	5.6%	4-3-3	55.0%	57.5%	50.8%	53.5%	1300	↑ top
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	5.6%	5-4-3	54.2%	57.3%	46.8%	50.3%	1269	—
8		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	40.2%	42.5%	43.2%	1096	↓ low
9		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	50.1%	48.3%	48.5%	1197	↓ low
10		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-2-2	50.0%	46.8%	50.6%	50.2%	1364	↑ top
11		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-4-0	20.0%	42.8%	47.1%	50.7%	1045	↓ low
12		Fire Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	42.4%	48.8%	49.7%	1371	↑ top
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	42.7%	52.2%	45.5%	1468	↑ top
14		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	55.5%	49.1%	49.5%	1199	—
15		Fire Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	2.8%	0-5-1	8.3%	32.0%	44.3%	46.7%	983	↓ low
16		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	53.3%	47.9%	47.7%	1148	↓ low
17		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-1-1	50.0%	48.7%	47.5%	47.3%	1182	↓ low
18		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-3-2	33.3%	44.8%	44.4%	47.0%	1073	↓ low
19		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.8%	1-3-2	33.3%	40.7%	51.2%	51.1%	1328	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 6 decks · 16.7%
• Water Genbu 5 decks · 13.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 11.1%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 8.3%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 5.6%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 5.6%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Silvie 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.8%
• Fire Tera Mage 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.8%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 2.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.8%