Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Düsseldorf Regionals
decks
2
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
9-2-1
overall winrate
79.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
72.0%
avg ELO +9.4 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1358
· median 1358
· range 1277–1439
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1222
Q3 1409
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.6% | +12.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.3% | -4.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.2 |
| Water Genbu | 9.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.8% | +10.3 |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.5% | +19.7 |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Water Zander | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
