← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Fire Luxem Guo JiaTier 3
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
decks
1
(1.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.7%
avg ELO -3.2 per match
expected value
43.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1232
· median 1232
· range 1232–1232
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1234
Q3 1454
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Guo Jia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
