← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Water Crux LorraineTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
decks
1
(1.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-1-1
overall winrate
78.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
59.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1593
· median 1593
· range 1593–1593
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1234
Q3 1454
1750
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Guo Jia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
