← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
decks
4
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
3-8-5
overall winrate
34.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.8%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
46.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1324
· median 1300
· range 1178–1517
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1234
Q3 1454
1750
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -2.3 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.8% | -7.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Fire Luxem Guo Jia | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.6 |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Water Overlord | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
