Wind Luxem ZanderTier 2
at Geek Culture HVN Regionals
decks
3
(3.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
6-9-1
overall winrate
40.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.8%
avg ELO -4.1 per match
expected value
48.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1323
· median 1342
· range 1234–1394
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033
Q1 1270
Q3 1411
1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 15.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.6% | -7.9 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Water Fractal | 11.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Water Genbu | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Rai | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
