Geek Culture HVN Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	12	15.0%	25-32-1	44.0%	47.2%	44.4%	46.5%	1294	↓ low
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	10	12.5%	31-24-5	55.8%	54.0%	50.5%	50.4%	1360	—
3		Water Fractal	Tier 1	9	11.2%	26-22-6	53.7%	48.9%	50.6%	48.1%	1409	↑ top
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	8	10.0%	22-17-6	55.6%	54.1%	55.7%	55.1%	1362	—
5		Water Genbu	Tier 1	7	8.8%	16-16-4	50.0%	51.9%	48.8%	50.0%	1399	—
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	7	8.8%	18-21-5	46.6%	46.6%	49.6%	48.9%	1401	—
7		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	5	6.2%	15-7-5	64.8%	61.1%	55.3%	54.3%	1435	↑ top
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	4	5.0%	14-7-4	64.0%	61.6%	56.4%	56.6%	1432	↑ top
9		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	4	5.0%	11-9-2	54.5%	54.5%	50.8%	51.5%	1227	↓ low
10		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	3	3.8%	6-9-1	40.6%	39.8%	48.2%	47.1%	1323	—
11		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	2	2.5%	6-6-2	50.0%	47.3%	50.9%	49.9%	1370	—
12		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-5-0	28.6%	36.8%	42.4%	43.6%	1405	—
13		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-5-0	28.6%	35.5%	41.2%	41.6%	1404	—
14		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-4-1	25.0%	46.3%	45.0%	48.5%	1162	↓ low
15		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.2%	4-3-0	57.1%	53.7%	49.7%	49.6%	1408	↑ top
16		Fire Rai	Tier 3	1	1.2%	0-3-1	12.5%	39.1%	35.4%	40.9%	1074	↓ low
17		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.2%	3-4-0	42.9%	58.7%	47.2%	51.6%	1291	↓ low
18		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-3-2	42.9%	45.6%	46.4%	46.7%	1266	↓ low
19		Water Overlord	Tier 3	1	1.2%	2-4-1	35.7%	42.6%	47.4%	47.9%	1368	—
20		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.2%	0-3-1	12.5%	32.4%	41.0%	40.1%	1172	↓ low
21		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.2%	1-3-3	35.7%	39.5%	39.9%	40.5%	1345	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 12 decks · 15.0%
• Wind Allies 10 decks · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 9 decks · 11.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 8 decks · 10.0%
• Water Genbu 7 decks · 8.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 7 decks · 8.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 5 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 5.0%
• Fire Suzaku 4 decks · 5.0%
• Wind Luxem Zander 3 decks · 3.8%
• Water Penguin Mill 2 decks · 2.5%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Rai 1 deck · 1.2%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Overlord 1 deck · 1.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.2%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.2%