Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven Regionals
decks
2
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.7%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
39.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1157
· median 1157
· range 973–1340
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1168
Q3 1402
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 24.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.4% | -16.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.3% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 41.1% | -6.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.5% | +6.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.0% | +20.7 |
| Water Diana | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
