Water DianaTier 2
at Abyssal Heaven Regionals
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.2%
avg ELO -12.7 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1022
· median 1022
· range 1022–1022
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1168
Q3 1402
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 24.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
