← HVN 店家冠軍賽

Wind AlliesTier 1

at HVN 店家冠軍賽

decks
4 (16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21 11-9-1
overall winrate
54.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.0% avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
51.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1273 · median 1209 · range 1139–1536 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
988 Q1 1144 Q3 1316 1694
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 16.7% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 50.4% +0.3
Fire Suzaku 8.3% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 70.9% +15.6
Water Genbu 8.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.6% -3.3
Wind Neos 8.3% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 67.7% +13.2
Fire Aggro 4.2% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 56.9% +11.0
Slimes 4.2% 0
Water Dawn of Ashes 4.2% 0
Water Tera Mage 4.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.4
Wind Astra Cleric 4.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.0% -8.0
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.3% -13.2
Wind Seiryuu 4.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.2% +5.2
Wind Shadowstrike 4.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.5% -16.7
Wind Umbra Diana 4.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 43.1% -6.6
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Huaji of Heaven's Rise +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Directive -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Charged Mannequin -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Cutter +1.00 1 0 0
Cry for Help -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald -1.00 0 1 0
Wind Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Cell Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Counter Interference -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Shangxiang, Fierce Princess +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster +1.00 1 0 0
Manufacture Cell -1.00 0 1 0
Second Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/26214/archetypes/Wind Allies