Wind NeosTier 2
at HVN 店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-5-1
overall winrate
21.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.1%
avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
43.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1119
· median 1119
· range 988–1249
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
988
Q1 1144
Q3 1316
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Allies | 16.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.3% | -13.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +4.7 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.3 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
