HP Wolves Den 1st Store Championships! (ALC Season)

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	6	21.4%	12-8-2	59.1%	55.6%	54.0%	52.9%	1297	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	17.9%	5-10-3	36.1%	45.9%	42.6%	46.3%	1289	—
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	14.3%	13-5-0	72.2%	56.2%	59.1%	53.6%	1437	↑ top
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	10.7%	8-5-0	61.5%	60.8%	54.4%	55.4%	1399	—
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	7.1%	5-2-3	65.0%	53.6%	51.3%	49.2%	1420	↑ top
6		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	7.1%	2-7-0	22.2%	37.9%	40.0%	42.9%	1169	↓ low
7		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.3%	49.1%	50.6%	1282	—
8		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.0%	43.1%	45.3%	1400	—
9		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.6%	3-2-0	60.0%	57.4%	49.3%	50.4%	1427	↑ top
10		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.6%	3-2-0	60.0%	52.1%	50.0%	49.1%	1668	↑ top
11		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	3.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	40.4%	42.9%	46.3%	1267	↓ low
12		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	3.6%	0-5-0	0.0%	24.0%	37.2%	38.4%	1128	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 6 decks · 21.4%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 17.9%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 10.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 7.1%
• Water Astra Cleric 2 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 3.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.6%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 3.6%