Wind AlliesTier 2

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• Reanbell 79 cards · placed #18
• Gerardus 80 cards · placed #21
• Donglefutz 80 cards · placed #22
• Polarcub 80 cards · placed #23
• Jez 80 cards · placed #24

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Windrider Vanguard, Aesan Protector, Banner Knight. Losers more often ran: Reclaim, Exorcise Curses, Favorable Winds.

↑ Played more by winners

Windrider Vanguard

Winning decks ran 3.7 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Aesan Protector

Winning decks ran 3.7 copies on average, losing decks 3.3.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Banner Knight

Winning decks ran 2.7 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Water Resonance Bauble

Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.3.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Viridian Protective Trinket

Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.3.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Trained Hawk

Winning decks ran 1.7 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

↓ Played more by losers

Reclaim

Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Exorcise Curses

Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Favorable Winds

Losing decks ran 3.3 copies on average, winning decks 2.7.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Zephyr

Losing decks ran 0.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.