Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at The Gauntlet 2025
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-5-1
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.5%
avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1426–1426
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1345
Q1 1434
Q3 1600
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 42.9% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 44.9% | -3.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
