Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at The Gauntlet 2025
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
7-4-5
overall winrate
59.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.8%
avg ELO +5.5 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1501
· median 1501
· range 1463–1538
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1345
Q1 1434
Q3 1600
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 42.9% | 8 | 4-3-1 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 59.4% | +4.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 14.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.1% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 74.0% | +23.1 |
| Fire Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
