Webcam Weekly 4/18/2024

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	6	13.0%	13-9-2	58.3%	50.3%	54.6%	50.2%	1226	—
2		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	6	13.0%	8-12-0	40.0%	49.7%	44.8%	49.7%	1300	—
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	5	10.9%	10-6-1	61.8%	50.9%	55.3%	50.5%	1257	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	4	8.7%	4-7-0	36.4%	49.1%	46.1%	49.7%	1187	↓ low
5		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	4	8.7%	6-7-0	46.2%	48.7%	44.8%	49.3%	1278	—
6		Wind Allies	Tier 1	4	8.7%	9-5-0	64.3%	51.4%	53.2%	50.4%	1218	—
7		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	2	4.3%	5-3-0	62.5%	50.9%	53.8%	50.3%	1250	—
8		Water Tonoris	Tier 2	2	4.3%	1-5-0	16.7%	48.9%	44.7%	49.8%	1327	—
9		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	4.3%	4-3-1	56.2%	50.1%	52.1%	49.9%	1503	↑ top
10		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.3%	3-3-1	50.0%	50.5%	48.6%	50.0%	1195	↓ low
11		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.0%	45.7%	50.5%	1099	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.0%	51.4%	50.4%	1176	↓ low
13		Fire Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-1-1	62.5%	51.1%	51.8%	50.5%	1527	↑ top
14		Fire Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-1-0	75.0%	50.0%	53.7%	49.9%	1426	↑ top
15		Water Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.4%	50.0%	49.8%	1197	↓ low
16		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-4-0	0.0%	48.2%	40.0%	49.3%	1190	↓ low
17		Water Tera Tamer	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	48.7%	48.6%	49.8%	1137	↓ low
18		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-1-1	50.0%	49.5%	46.0%	49.4%	1349	↑ top
19		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-1-1	50.0%	49.4%	47.5%	49.4%	1582	↑ top
20		Wind Beast	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-1-1	50.0%	50.3%	51.8%	50.3%	1418	↑ top
21		Wind Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.5%	48.0%	49.9%	1122	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Luxem Assassin 6 decks · 13.0%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 6 decks · 13.0%
• Water Allies 5 decks · 10.9%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 8.7%
• Fire Erupting 4 decks · 8.7%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 8.7%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Tonoris 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Tera Tamer 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 2.2%