← Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Regional | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.5% | 8 | 87.5% | 69.5% | 57.4% | 55.9% | 1477 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 2 | 9.1% | 7 | 57.1% | 47.3% | 55.8% | 53.1% | 1311 | — |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 59.1% | 55.0% | 56.3% | 1334 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Exia | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 51.8% | 53.3% | 53.2% | 1253 | — |
| 5 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 9.1% | 12 | 50.0% | 52.8% | 53.0% | 53.4% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.5% | 7 | 64.3% | 61.1% | 53.0% | 53.6% | 1216 | — |
| 7 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 9.1% | 11 | 54.5% | 48.8% | 50.4% | 48.5% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.8% | 50.0% | 49.5% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.5% | 6 | 58.3% | 52.5% | 48.8% | 49.1% | 1337 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 13.6% | 15 | 43.3% | 40.7% | 47.3% | 46.1% | 1341 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 3 | 13.6% | 12 | 41.7% | 52.3% | 46.8% | 50.7% | 1253 | — |
| 12 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 4.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 47.8% | 1068 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.6% | 42.9% | 43.1% | 1300 | — |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 32.6% | 40.0% | 41.2% | 1090 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Umbra Ciel | 1 | 4.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 41.6% | 40.0% | 41.6% | 1137 | ↓ low |