← JadiFun Distorted Reflections Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at JadiFun Distorted Reflections Store Championship . EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Mage 1 6.2% 8 87.5% 71.6% 62.1% 61.1% 1437 ↑ top
2 Fire Suited 1 6.2% 11 72.7% 74.3% 59.0% 62.6% 1364
3 Wind Shadowstrike 1 6.2% 5 70.0% 59.4% 57.7% 56.3% 1350
4 Fire Rile 6 37.5% 26 55.8% 57.2% 54.9% 56.1% 1322 ↓ low
5 Wind Seiryuu 1 6.2% 5 60.0% 46.0% 54.3% 49.9% 1411 ↑ top
6 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 6.2% 5 40.0% 41.2% 52.3% 49.9% 1352
7 Fire Oblation 1 6.2% 7 64.3% 55.7% 50.2% 49.6% 1385
8 Fire Aggro 2 12.5% 11 45.5% 46.4% 47.8% 47.0% 1356
9 Fire Firebloom Burn 2 12.5% 14 35.7% 42.5% 45.6% 47.1% 1372
10 Fire Luxem Assassin 2 12.5% 7 14.3% 41.1% 41.5% 46.6% 1179 ↓ low
11 Wind Allies 3 18.8% 17 32.4% 27.4% 40.9% 36.7% 1396 ↑ top
12 Water Fractal 1 6.2% 6 33.3% 39.1% 40.0% 39.9% 1446 ↑ top