CMB DTR Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	13	31.7%	36-30-3	54.3%	53.9%	50.7%	50.4%	1347	—
2		Fire Suited	Tier 1	6	14.6%	19-18-2	51.3%	43.8%	49.1%	45.3%	1325	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	4	9.8%	14-14-3	50.0%	54.5%	53.3%	55.6%	1288	—
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	4	9.8%	10-16-0	38.5%	43.5%	47.4%	48.6%	1268	—
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	9.8%	14-12-1	53.7%	61.4%	50.7%	55.3%	1250	—
6		Fire Exia	Tier 1	2	4.9%	11-4-1	71.9%	69.1%	57.8%	58.0%	1299	—
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	4.9%	7-5-0	58.3%	55.3%	52.9%	52.7%	1473	↑ top
8		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	4.9%	6-6-1	50.0%	53.5%	48.7%	50.2%	1331	—
9		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	4.9%	6-6-0	50.0%	39.5%	49.0%	43.4%	1302	—
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-5-0	44.4%	43.5%	45.4%	44.9%	1400	↑ top
11		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-2-2	66.7%	55.9%	54.3%	52.7%	1415	↑ top
12		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-4-1	10.0%	39.1%	40.6%	45.9%	1056	↓ low
13		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	6-0-1	92.9%	60.8%	58.8%	52.4%	1549	↑ top
14		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-5-0	0.0%	32.1%	34.3%	39.7%	994	↓ low
15		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-2-2	62.5%	51.9%	52.1%	50.5%	1275	—
16		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-6-0	33.3%	45.8%	42.4%	45.4%	1115	↓ low
17		Water Zander	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-2-2	50.0%	55.4%	51.4%	52.7%	1210	↓ low
18		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-5-0	50.0%	49.2%	50.3%	50.0%	1480	↑ top
19		Wind Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-5-2	25.0%	37.2%	38.9%	40.9%	1352	—
20		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.4%	6-1-1	81.2%	63.4%	60.8%	58.8%	1356	↑ top
21		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-7-0	12.5%	29.1%	37.7%	39.5%	1189	↓ low
22		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-6-0	14.3%	22.1%	38.6%	36.7%	1284	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 13 decks · 31.7%
• Fire Suited 6 decks · 14.6%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 9.8%
• Fire Suzaku 4 decks · 9.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 9.8%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 4.9%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.4%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Zander 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Ciel 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.4%