Fire SuitedTier 2
at DTR Regional @ CM Dunedin
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.6%
avg ELO +7.9 per match
expected value
54.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1168
· median 1168
· range 1168–1168
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
957
Q1 1182
Q3 1403
1558
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Water Fractal | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.4 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suited decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
