DTR Regional @ CM Dunedin

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	5	15.6%	12-13-1	48.1%	45.2%	48.9%	47.9%	1369	↑ top
2		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	12.5%	9-9-3	50.0%	45.3%	49.9%	48.7%	1343	—
3		Water Fractal	Tier 1	3	9.4%	5-6-2	46.2%	47.6%	51.2%	51.7%	1286	—
4		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	2	6.2%	5-2-4	63.6%	57.9%	53.9%	54.1%	1275	—
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-5-0	0.0%	34.0%	40.0%	45.8%	1033	↓ low
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.1%	46.0%	47.5%	1191	↓ low
7		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	6-0-0	100.0%	61.5%	60.0%	54.6%	1558	↑ top
8		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.5%	50.0%	53.5%	1402	↑ top
9		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	57.6%	50.0%	49.8%	1369	↑ top
10		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	65.6%	54.7%	58.4%	1168	↓ low
11		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	44.1%	46.0%	46.3%	1291	—
12		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	28.8%	40.0%	44.1%	1150	↓ low
13		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	43.9%	47.7%	48.9%	1151	↓ low
14		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	3.1%	1-3-1	30.0%	49.8%	44.4%	49.7%	1093	↓ low
15		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.1%	52.7%	54.1%	1316	—
16		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-1	41.7%	47.3%	48.0%	50.1%	1219	↓ low
17		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	56.6%	56.4%	53.9%	1454	↑ top
18		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	55.0%	55.2%	52.1%	1405	↑ top
19		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	51.5%	52.9%	50.4%	1404	↑ top
20		Wind Cats	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	41.0%	40.0%	43.2%	1113	↓ low
21		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	39.6%	47.5%	44.2%	1368	↑ top
22		Wind Tera Tamer	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	57.2%	46.7%	52.4%	957	↓ low
23		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	3.1%	5-2-0	71.4%	67.0%	54.5%	56.3%	1381	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 15.6%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 3.1%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Cats 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Tera Tamer 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 3.1%