← Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
Fire AetherwingTier 1
at Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-1-1
overall winrate
78.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.8%
avg ELO +8.9 per match
expected value
57.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1342
· median 1342
· range 1342–1342
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1194
Q3 1353
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Water Neos | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
