← Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Store Championship - Distorted Reflections
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.9%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
52.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1204
· median 1204
· range 1169–1239
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1100
Q1 1194
Q3 1353
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.8% | +15.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
