Store Championship - Distorted Reflections

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	9.1%	1-6-0	14.3%	31.2%	41.0%	42.3%	1229	—
2		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	9.1%	8-3-1	70.8%	66.3%	55.0%	54.9%	1321	↑ top
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	9.1%	4-4-1	50.0%	49.8%	50.8%	50.7%	1278	—
4		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	9.1%	1-6-1	18.8%	34.4%	43.0%	44.8%	1188	↓ low
5		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	9.1%	6-4-0	60.0%	57.9%	52.8%	53.0%	1204	↓ low
6		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	9.1%	5-5-0	50.0%	47.3%	48.7%	47.7%	1369	↑ top
7		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	4.5%	5-1-1	78.6%	67.8%	57.3%	56.9%	1342	↑ top
8		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	52.2%	48.6%	51.3%	1153	↓ low
9		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	4.5%	2-2-1	50.0%	40.6%	51.2%	47.8%	1532	↑ top
10		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.7%	46.7%	47.9%	1125	↓ low
11		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	33.6%	40.0%	42.3%	1100	↓ low
12		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	4.5%	1-2-2	40.0%	45.9%	47.5%	48.1%	1311	—
13		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	1	4.5%	4-2-0	66.7%	52.6%	54.5%	52.0%	1408	↑ top
14		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	4.5%	3-1-2	66.7%	58.4%	55.3%	54.6%	1356	↑ top
15		Water Neos	Tier 1	1	4.5%	2-2-1	50.0%	49.5%	50.0%	49.6%	1216	↓ low
16		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.9%	54.3%	52.0%	1257	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 9.1%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 9.1%
• Water Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 9.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 4.5%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 4.5%