Fire SuzakuTier 1
at GG Adelaide DTR Regional
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
6-3-2
overall winrate
63.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.1%
avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
53.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1439
· median 1439
· range 1315–1563
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1196
Q3 1344
1563
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 25.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 45.2% | -3.1 |
| Fire Suited | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.8% | +9.4 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | -23.2 |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ciel | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
