Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	8	50.0%	21-12-2	62.9%	57.6%	58.1%	55.3%	1290	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	12.5%	4-6-0	40.0%	34.8%	40.8%	40.4%	1296	—
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	12.5%	9-5-2	62.5%	65.7%	53.5%	57.3%	1316	—
4		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	2	12.5%	11-6-0	64.7%	63.9%	57.3%	58.2%	1263	—
5		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	12.5%	1-7-1	16.7%	27.3%	34.3%	36.7%	1258	—
6		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-4-0	20.0%	48.1%	41.5%	48.2%	1237	—
7		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	6.2%	5-2-2	66.7%	47.3%	57.8%	48.9%	1349	↑ top
8		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	6.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	44.8%	44.5%	46.6%	1208	↓ low
9		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	6.2%	0-5-0	0.0%	34.2%	29.5%	37.2%	1159	↓ low
10		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	6.2%	2-4-0	33.3%	36.0%	39.0%	38.4%	1484	↑ top
11		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	6.2%	1-2-1	37.5%	48.9%	43.3%	47.5%	1170	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 8 decks · 50.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 12.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 6.2%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 6.2%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 6.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 6.2%