← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.8%
avg ELO -6.8 per match
expected value
40.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1296
· median 1296
· range 1233–1358
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1170
Q3 1358
1484
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 50.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.0% | -13.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | -23.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +4.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.1% | -23.8 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
