← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
1-7-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
27.3%
avg ELO -10.5 per match
expected value
34.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
36.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1258
· median 1258
· range 1120–1397
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1170
Q3 1358
1484
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 50.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.9% | -12.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -5.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.0% | -8.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
