← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire Umbra RangerTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
11-6-0
overall winrate
64.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.9%
avg ELO +5.5 per match
expected value
57.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1263
· median 1263
· range 1168–1357
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1170
Q3 1358
1484
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 50.0% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 60.6% | +5.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
