Mad Alpaca Games Davis Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 2	8	72.7%	9-8-1	52.8%	53.1%	48.4%	49.5%	1377	—
2		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	3	27.3%	5-5-1	50.0%	44.2%	51.8%	45.8%	1379	—
3		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	18.2%	7-0-0	100.0%	79.0%	66.2%	68.7%	1490	↑ top
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	9.1%	2-4-0	33.3%	54.8%	42.7%	52.5%	1049	↓ low
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	27.8%	40.0%	40.2%	1164	↓ low
6		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	39.1%	40.0%	45.5%	1351	—
7		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	42.4%	52.3%	42.7%	1474	↑ top
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	9.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	44.7%	43.9%	44.5%	1471	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 8 decks · 72.7%
• Fire Oblation 3 decks · 27.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%