← Mad Alpaca Games Davis Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Mad Alpaca Games Davis Store Championship
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
7-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
79.0%
avg ELO +14.6 per match
expected value
66.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
68.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1490
· median 1490
· range 1430–1550
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1049
Q1 1343
Q3 1450
1550
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 72.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.9% | +20.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 27.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.9% | +20.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.8% | +5.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
