← LabyrinthGames Brunei Regionals Tournament

Fire SuitedTier 2

at LabyrinthGames Brunei Regionals Tournament

decks
18 (20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
57 17-38-2
overall winrate
31.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.6% avg ELO -4.6 per match
expected value
40.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1186 · median 1166 · range 1103–1436 (18 pilots with an ELO rating)
1055 Q1 1152 Q3 1279 1571
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 39% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Umbra Guardian 8.9% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 45.6% -2.5
Fire Suzaku 6.7% 5 1-4-0 20.0% 33.3% 37.0% -7.5
Fire Crux Lorraine 5.6% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 40.1% -6.3
Wind Seiryuu 5.6% 4 0-4-0 0.0% 25.0% 31.6% -11.8
Wind Shadowstrike 5.6% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 48.4% -0.9
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.4% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 39.0% -8.2
Wind Allies 4.4% 5 0-4-1 10.0% 27.8% 36.3% -7.9
Fire Aggro 3.3% 5 1-4-0 20.0% 33.3% 30.3% -11.4
Fire Crux Mage 3.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.3
Fire Exia 3.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.0% -1.0
Water Allies 3.3% 4 0-4-0 0.0% 25.0% 34.0% -10.3
Fire Slimes 2.2% 0
Slimes 2.2% 0
Water Fractal 2.2% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 59.9% +7.4
Water Genbu 2.2% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.2% 0
Fire Aetherwing 1.1% 0
Fire Astra Ranger 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.7% -16.5
Fire Lorraine 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.5% +15.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.1% -7.8
Fire Polkhawk 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.0% -17.5
Fire Seiryuu 1.1% 0
Fire Umbra Ciel 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.4% -12.1
Fire Wind Vanitas 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.7% +15.5
Water Aetherwing 1.1% 0
Water Neos 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.4% +16.6
Water Tera Mage 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.4% +15.0
Wind Astra Cleric 1.1% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.1% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 49.9% -0.1
Decklists · 18 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Arthur, Young Heir +1.00 2 0 0
Sword of Seeking -1.00 0 2 0
Clarent, Reimagined -1.00 0 2 0
Wonderland's Reign -1.00 0 2 0
Clarent, Sword of Peace -1.00 0 2 0
Tithe Proclamation -0.50 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +0.50 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.50 1 0 1
Rouge, Ace of Hearts -0.50 0 1 1
Tristan, Underhanded +0.50 1 0 0
Intensified Pyre +0.50 1 0 0
Three of Hearts +0.50 1 0 1
Raised Slash -0.50 0 1 1
Deflecting Edge -0.50 0 1 1
Life Essence Amulet -0.50 0 1 0
Peppered Chef +0.50 1 0 0
Duchess, Six of Hearts -0.50 0 1 1
Incapacitate +0.50 1 0 0
Fiery Interference +0.50 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +0.50 1 0 1
Lorraine, Wandering Warrior -0.50 0 1 1
Ashen Riffle -0.50 0 1 1
Poisoned Dagger +0.50 1 0 0
Portentous Tanggu +0.50 1 0 0
Reduce to Ash +0.50 1 0 0
Smoke Out +0.50 1 0 0
Forgelight Blade -0.50 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.50 1 0 0
Five of Hearts -0.50 0 1 0
Inspiring Call -0.50 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.50 1 0 0
Rending Flames +0.50 1 0 0
Ornamental Greatsword +0.00 1 1 0
Verita, Queen of Hearts +0.00 1 1 0
Blazing Throw +0.00 1 1 0
Trump Set +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/31952/archetypes/Fire Suited