← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
3
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
9-4-1
overall winrate
67.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.6%
avg ELO +4.3 per match
expected value
57.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1225
· range 1193–1539
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1191
Q3 1373
1539
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 52.0% | +1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.2% | +16.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
