← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Water Tera MageTier 2
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
1
(3.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.1%
avg ELO -6.4 per match
expected value
37.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1164
· median 1164
· range 1164–1164
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1191
Q3 1373
1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
