← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
6-4-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.2%
avg ELO +5.9 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1287
· median 1287
· range 1113–1460
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1191
Q3 1373
1539
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +16.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +1.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
