← MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at MANAPRO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP SINGAPORE
decks
6
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26
11-13-2
overall winrate
46.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.4%
avg ELO -2.8 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278
· median 1281
· range 1117–1489
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1113
Q1 1191
Q3 1373
1539
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 48.0% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.1% | -16.3 |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 32.8% | -12.8 |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 48.9% | -0.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.6% | +9.2 |
