← Deck Out Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Deck Out Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 7.1% 7 71.4% 57.9% 56.4% 53.5% 1461 ↑ top
2 Fire Exia 1 7.1% 5 60.0% 66.1% 55.6% 60.4% 1195 ↓ low
3 Wind Astra Cleric 1 7.1% 4 50.0% 44.0% 55.6% 51.8% 1401 ↑ top
4 Wind Seiryuu 1 7.1% 9 66.7% 60.2% 55.2% 54.5% 1407 ↑ top
5 Fire Rile 6 42.9% 25 64.0% 60.1% 54.8% 54.4% 1321
6 Fire Suzaku 2 14.3% 12 66.7% 55.1% 50.3% 47.5% 1336
7 Fire Oblation 1 7.1% 7 42.9% 47.4% 45.7% 46.8% 1318
8 Wind Razorgale 1 7.1% 8 43.8% 45.7% 44.9% 45.6% 1469 ↑ top
9 Wind Shadowstrike 1 7.1% 5 30.0% 31.5% 43.0% 39.6% 1532 ↑ top
10 Water Allies 1 7.1% 5 20.0% 36.2% 41.8% 42.8% 1315
11 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 7.1% 5 20.0% 46.4% 41.8% 47.4% 1298 ↓ low
12 Water Astra Ranger 1 7.1% 6 33.3% 36.8% 40.0% 38.6% 1465 ↑ top
13 Fire Aggro 1 7.1% 6 0.0% 34.4% 33.1% 41.9% 1106 ↓ low