← Store Championship Cardpoint
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Championship Cardpoint.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.9% | 10 | 85.0% | 67.7% | 62.8% | 59.1% | 1361 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Rile | 6 | 35.3% | 37 | 59.5% | 56.4% | 54.6% | 52.9% | 1310 | — |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 10 | 70.0% | 45.5% | 54.2% | 46.9% | 1584 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 10 | 65.0% | 48.6% | 53.7% | 49.1% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.9% | 9 | 61.1% | 59.7% | 52.3% | 53.0% | 1319 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 5.9% | 8 | 56.2% | 48.7% | 52.1% | 49.5% | 1277 | — |
| 7 | Water Allies | 2 | 11.8% | 13 | 46.2% | 55.4% | 51.4% | 55.1% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 5.9% | 9 | 44.4% | 59.5% | 49.1% | 55.8% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 11.8% | 14 | 42.9% | 46.7% | 47.9% | 48.6% | 1317 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 5.9% | 8 | 50.0% | 55.4% | 46.2% | 48.8% | 1286 | — |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 33.3% | 44.8% | 44.6% | 45.5% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Genbu | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 20.0% | 34.1% | 40.0% | 40.4% | 1156 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 0.0% | 30.6% | 37.3% | 43.2% | 1094 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 5.9% | 8 | 12.5% | 24.4% | 35.5% | 35.3% | 1140 | ↓ low |