Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at DTR Store Champs
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.6%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
43.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1318
· median 1318
· range 1299–1338
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1220
Q3 1425
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.1% | -6.7 |
| Fire Suited | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.9 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
