← Ember Rest - Store Championship 16AUG25
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Ember Rest - Store Championship 16AUG25
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.1%
avg ELO -5.8 per match
expected value
47.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1616
· median 1616
· range 1616–1616
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1193
Q1 1311
Q3 1430
1678
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 47.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -1.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 17.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
