← Ember Rest - Store Championship 16AUG25
Fire OblationTier 1
at Ember Rest - Store Championship 16AUG25
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
8-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
75.0%
avg ELO +12.0 per match
expected value
71.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
66.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1374
· median 1374
· range 1374–1374
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1193
Q1 1311
Q3 1430
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 47.1% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 68.9% | +12.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 17.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.7% | +12.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
